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reddit.com Pro-Israel
The Hormuz Minefield: In the Strait, Iran Holds the Advantage—and America Has No Good Options

submitted by /u/ForeignAffairsMag to r/geopolitics [link] [comments]

news.google.com Pro-Iran
Oil Crisis: US Allowing Iranian Tankers Through Strait of Hormuz - Asia Financial

Oil Crisis: US Allowing Iranian Tankers Through Strait of Hormuz  Asia Financial

Middle East Eye Pro-Iran
Sri Lanka declares shorter work week over fuel scarcity

Sri Lanka declares shorter work week over fuel scarcity Fears over the scarcity of fuel and the war on Iran's uncertain future has forced Sri Lanka to declare a shorter work week. The move, it is hoped, will conserve its limited fuel reserves as transportation of fuel and other goods through the Strait of Hormuz - which normally carries 20 percent of world exports - remains blocked. In 2024 In 2024 around 84 percent of the 2o million barrels a day crude oil and other condensate shipments moving through the strait went to Asia.

Times of Israel Pro-Israel
Europeans mull US request to help open Hormuz Strait, seek clarity on war goals

EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas says bloc could expand existing Red Sea naval operation into Persian Gulf as countries aim to secure vital shipping route closed by Tehran The post Europeans mull US request to help open Hormuz Strait, seek clarity on war goals appeared first on The Times of Israel.

Middle East Eye Pro-Iran
European allies refuse US request to help open Strait of Hormuz

European allies refuse US request to help open Strait of Hormuz MEE staff on Mon, 03/16/2026 - 13:18 UK, Germany, Spain and France among those unwilling to send navy to re-open crucial waterway Smoke rises from the Thai bulk carrier 'Mayuree Naree' near the Strait of Hormuz after an attack, on 11 March 2026 (Handout/Royal Thai Navy/AFP) Off European allies have pushed back on a US request to help re-open the Strait of Hormuz, with Germany stating outright that the conflict with Iran was "not Nato's war". Iran moved to close the strait last week in response to Israel and US attacks on the country, blocking a passage where more than 20 percent of the world’s oil and gas supply moves through. Despite a call from US President Donald Trump over the weekend for allied assistance, there has been widespread reluctance to get involved in the war. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's spokesman said the conflict has "nothing to do with Nato".  "Nato is an alliance for the defence of territory," said Stefan Kornelius. "The mandate to deploy Nato is lacking" in the current situation, he told reporters. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius added that while there would be "no military participation", they would seek a diplomatic solution to the crisis.  For his part, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer also ruled out a Nato mission, but said he was working with allies to come up with a "viable" plan to reopen the waterway. "We're working with all of our allies, including our European partners, to bring together a viable collective plan that can restore freedom of navigation in the region as quickly as possible and ease the economic impacts," he said in Downing Street. "Let me be clear: that won't be, and it's never been envisioned to be, a Nato mission." Energy Secretary Ed Miliband said on Sunday that the British government was considering sending minesweeping drones rather than warships to Hormuz. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); The French foreign ministry also confirmed that France would not send ships to the Strait, writing on X that its naval mission is in the Eastern Mediterranean and remains "defensive". 'Very bad for the future of Nato' Spain, which has been the most vocal critic of the war on Iran in Europe, also ruled it out, with Defence Minister Margarita Robles saying Madrid was "absolutely not" mulling a military contribution.  Poland, likewise, dismissed any involvement in a naval operation to open the strait. The lukewarm response from European capitals came after Japan and Australia voiced similar sentiments earlier on Monday, with Canberra noting it would not be sending a navy ship to the Strait of Hormuz. Britain drawn closer to Iran war as a reluctant Starmer moves to appease Trump Read More » Trump has warned that the refusal of allied countries to help open up the strait would be "very bad for the future of Nato", without elaborating. A number of Scandinavian and Baltic countries, which have been keen to ensure US support over Russia's activities near their borders, suggested they were not closing the door on the issue. "We did not want this war. From day one, we have called for de-escalation," Denmark's foreign minister, Lars Lokke Rasmussen, told Danish media in Brussels before an EU foreign ministers' meeting.  "That said, I believe we need to keep an open mind and look at how we can contribute." Lithuanian Foreign Minister Kestutis Budrys told reporters in Brussels: "Nato countries should consider" a US request for help but said they would "need to see the entire operational environment and the capabilities with which we could contribute". His Estonian counterpart said his country was "always ready for discussions with the US, including now regarding the situation in the Strait of Hormuz".  War on Iran News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0

news.google.com Unclassified
European allies refuse US request to help open Strait of Hormuz - Middle East Eye

European allies refuse US request to help open Strait of Hormuz  Middle East Eye

news.google.com Pro-Iran
Europe Rejects Trump’s Demands for Warships to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz - The New York Times

Europe Rejects Trump’s Demands for Warships to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz  The New York Times

news.google.com Unclassified
Pakistan-bound oil tanker passes through Hormuz Strait amid Iran war - Reuters

Pakistan-bound oil tanker passes through Hormuz Strait amid Iran war  Reuters

The Guardian Pro-Iran
European countries reject Trump’s call for help to reopen strait of Hormuz

Leaders seek a diplomatic solution despite US president’s threat of ‘a very bad future’ for Nato unless it provides warships Middle East crisis – live updates European countries have ruled out sending warships to the strait of Hormuz, despite threats from Donald Trump that Nato faces “a very bad future” if members fail to help reopen the vital waterway. Germany ruled out participation in any military activity, including efforts to reopen the strait. “This is not our war, we have not started it,” said the country’s defence minister, Boris Pistorius. Continue reading...

Middle East Eye Pro-Iran
Could Gulf states learn from Ukraine's drone revolution?

Could Gulf states learn from Ukraine's drone revolution? Omar Ashour on Thu, 03/12/2026 - 23:15 As Iran targets US interests in regional countries, Kyiv's ongoing defensive efforts against Russia offer a blueprint for battlefield adaptation An interceptor drone used to protect against Russian drone attacks is pictured at an undisclosed location near the front lines of eastern Ukraine, on 9 October 2025 (Ed Jones/AFP) On In the first year of Russia’s full‑scale invasion, I argued that the under‑noticed defence inventories of the so‑called Global South still held Soviet‑legacy systems and calibres that could be repurposed for Ukraine’s immediate defence - less a grand strategy than a stopgap for force generation while western industry caught up.  That argument rested on a simple fear harboured by every strategic planner: in an attritional fight, what matters is not only what you own on paper, but how quickly you can turn stocks into sorties, and procurement into sustained combat power.  Four years later, the strategic irony is that the direction of traffic has flipped. Ukraine remains a recipient of western systems, but it has also become a producer of operational learning - an exporter of battle-space logic, procurement lessons, and counter‑drone methods.  Europe’s long “holiday from history” is over; the Gulf’s current defence strategy against air and missile attacks suggests that it should internalise the same lesson, not theatrically but institutionally. Since the 1970s, the Gulf security architecture has relied heavily on US forward presence and missile defence, but the scale of recent attacks illustrates the limits of even advanced systems when confronted with mass mixed-vector raids. The lesson is therefore the expansion of partnerships, and the adaptation of defence architecture toward more scalable counter-drone layers. This is where Ukraine comes in - heavily. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); Ukraine’s drone war is no longer a tactical novelty. It has become central to front-line operations, with relentless feedback loops between operators and industry.  In 2025, the Ukrainian defence ministry planned to procure around 4.5 million domestically produced first-person view (FPV) drones, a figure that reads like industrial mobilisation rather than “innovation theatre”. Volume drives demand. According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, over the three-month winter period, Russia launched more than 14,670 guided aerial bombs, 738 missiles, and nearly 19,000 attack drones - an average comfortably above 200 attack drones per day.  The point for Gulf planners is not that the Gulf must mirror Ukraine’s geography. It is that Ukrainian forces have been forced, nightly, to solve the hardest air‑defence problem there is: how to defeat mass mixed‑vector raids without bankrupting the defender. Composite threat That adaptation has been cyclical rather than linear. When electronic warfare made radio‑linked FPVs less reliable in Ukraine, tethered and fibre‑optic drones proliferated. When Ukrainians began recognising and acting on patterns, the Russians diversified their routes, increased attack volumes, and mixed in decoy drones.  (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); Ukraine’s own officials have warned about the growing significance of fibre‑optic drones, precisely because they are difficult to jam. In parallel, soldiers in Ukraine are using improvised tools, such as nets or barriers, to help stop Russian attacks, reinforcing a lesson that Gulf and other militaries should heed: survivability is a combined product of expensive systems and cheap, scalable mitigation. Ukraine has become, under sustained aerial attack, the world's most battle‑tested school of countering terrorism from the air The threat shaping Gulf security is not a single missile or drone, but a composite strike architecture: ballistic missiles for speed and destructive effect, cruise missiles for low‑altitude penetration and precision strike, and one‑way attack drones and loitering munitions for saturation, decoying, coercion and cost imposition.  The intent is operational and political: pressure on critical infrastructure - ports, airports, power, refineries and desalination nodes - while exhausting the defender’s interceptor inventory and decision cycles. Official tallies show the scale of Iran’s opening salvos. There have been 186 ballistic missiles and 812 drones detected towards the UAE; 101 ballistic missiles, 39 drones, and three cruise missiles detected towards Qatar; and hundreds more monitored or destroyed by Bahrain and Kuwait.  From disclosed figures alone, the early total was already approaching 2,000 missile and drone threats - and that tally explicitly noted the absence of public data for Saudi Arabia and Oman at the time.  As the first week of war progressed, official updates pushed the cumulative count higher. The wider Gulf picture thus cannot be treated as episodic. It is an air‑and‑missile defence campaign with all of Ukraine’s familiar burdens: readiness, resilience, stockpiles and replenishment. Question of sustainability  This war’s most revealing datapoint is not merely how many targets were intercepted, but how many high‑end rounds were spent to do it - and what that implies for sustainability.  According to Zelensky, Middle Eastern states expended more than 800 PAC-3 Patriot air-defence missiles within the first three days of the conflict - a significantly higher volume than Ukraine has used during the course of Russia’s war against it. Is that verifiable as a precise, audited figure? Not clearly. Neither Gulf defence ministries nor the Pentagon publish a public shot‑by‑shot expenditure ledger, and public threat tallies of inbound missiles and drones do not automatically translate into interceptor counts, as multiple interceptors may be fired for each incident. Zelensky’s tally should thus be read cautiously; more as an informed political warning than a number we can independently certify. But the strategic warning he makes is strongly corroborated: modern air defence can consume annual production rhythms in days.  Andrius Kubilius, the European commissioner for defence and space, has highlighted the same problem. He said that roughly 700 Patriot interceptors were used during a four-month period in Ukraine, noting that Lockheed Martin produced only 600 PAC‑3 missiles in 2025.  Add the fact that Iran has reportedly launched hundreds of missiles and more than 1,000 drones at Gulf states since 28 February, and you have the backbone of Zelensky’s argument, even if you treat the 800 figure as approximate. Battle tested Ukraine’s battlefield adaptation is not a moral story; it is a procurement and force‑design blueprint. That’s why there is a “race” to adopt Ukrainian counter‑Shahed techniques, tactics and procedures - and to embrace a “good enough” philosophy in operations, because exquisite high-tech systems alone cannot keep up with large-scale demand.  That knowledge transfer is already starting. Qatari and western officials are exploring Ukrainian interceptor drones, detection methods and jamming approaches as cheaper complements to Patriot‑class interceptors.  Why the Gulf fears Israel's 'day after' in Iran Read More » Meanwhile, Ukrainian manufacturers are positioning for export: a Reuters report cites one producer as saying that its P1‑SUN interceptor downed more than 2,500 enemy drones in four months, with claims of high monthly production capacity. The operational takeaway for Gulf defence planners is not to copy Ukraine mechanically, but to mimic its adaptation cycle and architectural logic. To defend against aerial threats, Gulf states should prioritise layered, scalable networks: distributed sensors, electronic warfare, mobile guns, low‑cost kinetic interceptors, hardened command and control, and passive protection for critical infrastructure, while preserving Patriot/Thaad/Aegis missile defence systems for the instances when they are really needed.  The goal is to stay on the right side of the defence affordability frontier by maximising the value of defended assets per unit cost, and ensuring the attacker’s marginal cost of adding drones rises faster than the defender’s marginal cost of stopping them.  Ukraine’s experience is therefore vital not only to Europe’s defence, but also to smaller states confronting larger aggressors - including many in the Gulf. And because Ukraine has become, under sustained aerial attack, the world’s most battle‑tested school of countering terrorism from the air, it is in the Gulf’s strategic interest that Ukraine does not fall to a colonial war of conquest in Europe. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. War on Iran Opinion Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:29 Update Date Override 0

Al Jazeera Neutral
Qatar Airways announces ‘limited’ flights to and from Doha

Airline says limited number of flights will operate as of March 18 between Qatari capital and dozens of destinations.

news.google.com Pro-Iran
'Not our war': U.S. allies balk at Trump's Strait of Hormuz demands - NBC News

'Not our war': U.S. allies balk at Trump's Strait of Hormuz demands  NBC News

Al-Monitor Neutral
Oil eases, equities rise as market focuses on Strait of Hormuz

Oil prices dipped and equities rose on Monday as investors focused on the crucial Strait of Hormuz and the head of the IEA said more crude could be released on the market if necessary. As the Middle East war entered its third week, Wall Street opened higher while most European stocks climbed after Asian stocks mainly dipped. International benchmark Brent North Sea crude dropped back two percent to $101 after rising about three percent earlier in the day while the main US contract West Texas Intermediate plunged more than five percent to $93.37.

news.google.com Unclassified
China under pressure as Trump ties high-stakes summit to Strait of Hormuz crisis - South China Morning Post

China under pressure as Trump ties high-stakes summit to Strait of Hormuz crisis  South China Morning Post

news.google.com Pro-Israel
Trump urges NATO to protect Strait of Hormuz as Iran leader death rumors spread - WBFF

Trump urges NATO to protect Strait of Hormuz as Iran leader death rumors spread  WBFF

news.google.com Neutral
Oil eases as some tankers allowed through the Strait of Hormuz - Yahoo Finance UK

Oil eases as some tankers allowed through the Strait of Hormuz  Yahoo Finance UK

Al Jazeera Pro-Iran
EU leaders reject military involvement in Strait of Hormuz amid war on Iran

Pushback comes as US President Donald Trump says NATO allies should help secure key waterway amid soaring oil prices.

news.google.com Unclassified
Trump says he's demanded countries help 'protect their own territory,' police Iran's Strait of Hormuz - PBS

Trump says he's demanded countries help 'protect their own territory,' police Iran's Strait of Hormuz  PBS

news.google.com Neutral
U.S. letting Iranian oil tankers through Strait of Hormuz, Bessent says - qz.com

U.S. letting Iranian oil tankers through Strait of Hormuz, Bessent says  qz.com

news.google.com Unclassified
The Latest: Trump calls for help to reopen the Strait of Hormuz - Central Oregon Daily

The Latest: Trump calls for help to reopen the Strait of Hormuz  Central Oregon Daily